An Aggregating Prediction Model for Management Decision Analysis

نویسندگان

چکیده

Facing an increasingly competitive market, enterprises need correct decisions to solve operational problems in a timely manner maintain their advantages. In this context, insufficient information may lead overfitting phenomenon general mathematical modeling methods, making it difficult ensure good analytical performance. Therefore, is important for be able effectively analyze and make predictions using small data sets. Although various approaches have been developed the problem of prediction, application often limited by observations. To further enforce effectiveness uncertainty processing, study proposed aggregating prediction model management decision analysis Compared with six popular approaches, results from experiments show that method can deal set thus appropriate tool managers.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Decision Analysis Model for Vegetation Management

The application of business intelligence and analytics in non-conventional areas is an emerging research paradigm. In this paper, we present a model which uses data that has been collected over a number of years for tracking plantation and managing stand development. The data exists as legacy reports in the form of simple tables, line charts and scatter graphs which do not provide any strategic...

متن کامل

an application of equilibrium model for crude oil tanker ships insurance futures in iran

با توجه به تحریم های بین المملی علیه صنعت بیمه ایران امکان استفاده از بازارهای بین المملی بیمه ای برای نفتکش های ایرانی وجود ندارد. از طرفی از آنجایی که یکی از نوآوری های اخیر استفاده از بازارهای مالی به منظور ریسک های فاجعه آمیز می باشد. از اینرو در این پایان نامه سعی شده است با استفاده از این نوآوری ها با طراحی اوراق اختیارات راهی نو جهت بیمه گردن نفت کش های ایرانی ارائه نمود. از آنجایی که بر...

An aggregating strategy for shifting experts in discrete sequence prediction

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advices from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed algorithm is based on popular exponential weighing method with exponential discounting. We provide theoretical results bounding regret under the exponential ...

متن کامل

an appropriate model for exchange rate predictability in iran: comparing potential forecastability

nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...

Aggregating Algorithm for Prediction of Packs

This paper formulates the protocol for prediction of packs, which a special case of prediction under delayed feedback. Under this protocol, the learner must make a few predictions without seeing the outcomes and then the outcomes are revealed. We develop the theory of prediction with expert advice for packs. By applying Vovk’s Aggregating Algorithm to this problem we obtain a number of algorith...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Complexity

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1099-0526', '1076-2787']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6312579